Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 36% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.58
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
9%
4.38
X/2
12%
7.93
X/X
15%
4.43
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
10%
6.41
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.37/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.99
+29% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
324 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
16.7 Crosses 17.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bohemians
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 0.78
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 Passes 236
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.06.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 2-0 HT 2-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
21.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-3 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
16.02.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
23.09.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
01.09.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 2-1 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
19.07.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2-1
AWAY Bohemians
0.92 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
356 Passes 403
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers edged past Bohemians 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 48% of the ball to Bohemians's 52%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.92 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.50 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?

Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 46%, draw 25%, Bohemians 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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