Galway United 2-1 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
16%
3.99
X/2
6%
10.9
X/X
12%
5.66
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
7%
8.94
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
17.55
Value flag · 2/X at 17.55 — our 11% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.3pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 21%
-22% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -22%
1.34/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.55
-50% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
28.0 Crosses 14.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cork City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.78 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
198 Passes 204
63% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 5
01.08.2025 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
23.05.2025 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
14.02.2025 Cork City Cork City 2-2 HT 1-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
16.01.2024 Cork City Cork City 0-4 HT 0-3 Galway United Galway United HAZ
16.09.2022 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
15.07.2022 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
2-1
AWAY Cork City
1.88 xG 0.61
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
114 Passes 260
49% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United nicked a narrow win over Cork City 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galway United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Galway United had 39% of the ball to Cork City's 61%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.88 to 0.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Galway United's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Galway United and 0.83 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Cork City?

Galway United 2-1 Cork City in the Ireland - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Galway United 53%, draw 29%, Cork City 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galway United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galway United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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