Drogheda United vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Drogheda United v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Drogheda United vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Drogheda United 1-0 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Drogheda United squeezed past Derry City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Drogheda United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Drogheda United had 31% of the ball to Derry City's 69%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 1.09 to 0.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Drogheda United and 1.50 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Derry City?
Drogheda United 1-0 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 34%, draw 33%, Derry City 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drogheda United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.