Dundalk 1-3 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.62
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
12%
5.65
X/2
14%
5.81
X/X
12%
4.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
2/2
19%
3.79
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.30/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.11
+1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
242 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
22.5 Crosses 21.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bohemians
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 1.12
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
203 Passes 285
63% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.03.2026 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
27.09.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-2 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
26.07.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 1-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
26.04.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
15.04.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
27.10.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
1-3
AWAY Bohemians
0.18 xG 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
290 Passes 336
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
6 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians got the better of Dundalk 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Bohemians found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dundalk had 48% of the ball to Bohemians's 52%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.18 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dundalk and 0.83 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Bohemians?

Dundalk 1-3 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 36%, draw 24%, Bohemians 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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