Bohemians 1-1 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
27%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
17%
4.0
X/2
9%
10.85
X/X
8%
5.49
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.25
2/2
5%
8.93
2/X
8%
17.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+2.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.41/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.29
-10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 64%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
24.9 Crosses 19.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dundalk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
274 Passes 202
70% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-2 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
26.07.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 1-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
26.04.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 2-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
15.04.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
27.10.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
07.07.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 3-2 HT 1-2 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
1-1
AWAY Dundalk
0.69 xG 1.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
339 Passes 192
74% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians and Dundalk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Bohemians carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bohemians had 58% of the ball to Dundalk's 42%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.69 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bohemians and 1.17 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Dundalk?

Bohemians 1-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 58%, draw 23%, Dundalk 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bohemians), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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