Waterford FC 0-2 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.21
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
23.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
8%
9.02
X/2
16%
4.27
X/X
13%
4.85
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
24%
2.27
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.5 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-6.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 57%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
0.87/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.63
-3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
17.9 Crosses 19.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St Patricks
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.91 xG 1.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 Passes 322
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 1-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
03.08.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-2 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
23.05.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 2-2 HT 2-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
28.03.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
20.09.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
04.07.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
0-2
AWAY St Patricks
0.42 xG 3.28
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 33
2 Shots on Target 13
6 Corners 7
217 Passes 412
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 41
11 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks beat Waterford FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waterford FC had 39% of the ball to St Patricks's 61%, shots finished 7-33, expected goals 0.42 to 3.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Waterford FC and 1.67 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs St Patricks?

Waterford FC 0-2 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 27%, draw 26%, St Patricks 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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