St Patricks 4-1 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.9
No
43%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
15%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.53
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
7%
19.9
X/1
19%
3.76
X/2
4%
16.95
X/X
7%
7.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
21.3
2/2
6%
14.45
2/X
5%
23.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 13% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
71%
-2.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.7pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+1.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-3.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.8pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
2.06/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.95
+23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 67%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
22.1 Crosses 12.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Waterford FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.88 xG 0.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 Passes 246
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.03.2026 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-2 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
24.10.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 1-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
03.08.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-2 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
23.05.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 2-2 HT 2-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
28.03.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
20.09.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
4-1
AWAY Waterford FC
3.17 xG 1.79
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
408 Passes 146
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
37 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks ran out comfortable winners over Waterford FC 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, St Patricks had 69% of the ball to Waterford FC's 31%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 3.17 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St Patricks and 0.67 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Waterford FC?

St Patricks 4-1 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 69%, draw 18%, Waterford FC 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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