Galway United 1-3 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 34% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.82
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
14%
7.39
X/2
21%
4.47
X/X
15%
4.43
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
18%
2.7
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.14/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.79
+20% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
227 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
18.2 Crosses 19.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.65 xG 0.96
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
180 Passes 505
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.03.2026 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
29.10.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
10.08.2025 Galway United Galway United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
30.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
04.04.2025 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
16.09.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-2 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
1-3
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.24 xG 1.17
32% Ball Possession 68%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
183 Passes 532
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers got the better of Galway United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Galway United had 32% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 68%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.24 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Galway United and 1.00 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Galway United 1-3 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Galway United 27%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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