Dundalk vs Waterford FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundalk v Waterford FC — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Waterford FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Dundalk 2-3 Waterford FC — Actual Match Statistics
Waterford FC squeezed past Dundalk 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dundalk at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Dundalk had 54% of the ball to Waterford FC's 46%, shots finished 23-20, expected goals 1.47 to 2.15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dundalk and 1.83 for Waterford FC.
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Waterford FC?
Dundalk 2-3 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Waterford FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 63%, draw 19%, Waterford FC 18%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundalk) went the other way.