Ethiopia Bunna 3-0 Mekelle Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 45%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.47/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/1.04
+65% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2026 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema 1-1 HT 1-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
09.06.2025 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema 1-1 HT 0-0 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
31.10.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 2-0 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema ETH
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelle Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna cruised past Mekelle Kenema 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mekelle Kenema at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Bunna had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ethiopia Bunna and 0.67 for Mekelle Kenema.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelle Kenema?

Ethiopia Bunna 3-0 Mekelle Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelle Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelle Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 27%, draw 32%, Mekelle Kenema 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Mekelle Kenema), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelle Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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