Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Fasil Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.51
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.6pp
36%
Draw
32%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.0pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
0.95/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.86
-2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kedus Giorgis
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Fasil Ketema
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2026 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 1-0 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
07.04.2025 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 2-1 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
22.09.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 1-2 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
04.07.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 4-0 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
18.01.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 0-1 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1-0
AWAY Fasil Ketema
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis nicked a narrow win over Fasil Ketema 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 36% / 29% — and on the day Kedus Giorgis made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 44% of the ball to Fasil Ketema's 56%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fasil Ketema led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Kedus Giorgis and 1.00 for Fasil Ketema.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema?

Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Fasil Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Fasil Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 35%, draw 36%, Fasil Ketema 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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