Negele Arsi Ketema 2-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Negele Arsi Ketema EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Negele Arsi Ketema
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2026 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0-2 HT 0-1 Negele Arsi Ketema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Negele Arsi Ketema
2-0
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Negele Arsi Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Negele Arsi Ketema beat Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Negele Arsi Ketema as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Negele Arsi Ketema had 48% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 52%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Negele Arsi Ketema 2-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Before kick-off our model rated a Negele Arsi Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Negele Arsi Ketema 47%, draw 27%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Negele Arsi Ketema), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Negele Arsi Ketema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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