Arba Minch Kenema 0-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
3.34
No
65%
1.28
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+3.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-5.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
26%
+9.2pp
65%
BTTS No
74%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+23% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
214 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.02.2026 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-2 HT 0-0 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
23.05.2025 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 HT 0-0 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
23.11.2024 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema 2-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
0-1
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
58% Ball Possession 42%
4 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welwalo Adigrat Uni squeezed past Arba Minch Kenema 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Welwalo Adigrat Uni as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Arba Minch Kenema had 58% of the ball to Welwalo Adigrat Uni's 42%, shots finished 4-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arba Minch Kenema had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arba Minch Kenema and 0.67 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Arba Minch Kenema 0-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Before kick-off our model rated an Welwalo Adigrat Uni win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 18%, draw 30%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Welwalo Adigrat Uni), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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