Rot-Weiss Essen 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
7.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
53%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.94
Over 2.5
61%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
9.6
2-3 Goals
37%
2.5
4-5 Goals
35%
2.33
6+ Goals
12%
3.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
11%
+14.8pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.7pp
53%
Away Win
75%
-21.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
22%
+17.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
78%
-17.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 79%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
3.67/3.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.18
+150% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -10%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 82%
4.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 2.28
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 27
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 13
268 Passes 789
63% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 57
12 Crosses 58
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2021 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1-2
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Bayer Leverkusen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen nicked a narrow win over Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 40% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 60%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen in the Friendlies on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 26%, draw 21%, Bayer Leverkusen 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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