Babrungas 5-0 Garliava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
32%
Draw
23%
+9.2pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Garliava EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.01/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.87
+22% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Garliava
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2024 Garliava Garliava 1-2 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
29.07.2023 Garliava Garliava 3-4 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
10.03.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 3-2 HT 3-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
01.10.2022 Garliava Garliava 2-0 HT 1-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
28.05.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 5-0 HT 4-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babrungas
5-0
AWAY Garliava
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs Garliava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas swept aside Garliava 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Babrungas had 56% of the ball to Garliava's 44%, shots finished 16-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Babrungas had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Babrungas and 1.60 for Garliava.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs Garliava?

Babrungas 5-0 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs Garliava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 47%, draw 32%, Garliava 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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