Be1 NFA 3-2 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.18
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.61
Over 2.5
67%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
15%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
80%
-11.1pp
16%
Draw
11%
+4.8pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.3pp
33%
Under 2.5
35%
-1.5pp
67%
Over 2.5
65%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
2.32/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.77
-1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
382 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
3W-0D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-5 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
05.08.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
20.03.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 2-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
07.09.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 2-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Be1 NFA
3-2
AWAY FA Siauliai II
65% Ball Possession 35%
32 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA nicked a narrow win over FA Siauliai II 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%) came in.

On the day, Be1 NFA had 65% of the ball to FA Siauliai II's 35%, shots finished 32-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Be1 NFA and 1.00 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs FA Siauliai II?

Be1 NFA 3-2 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 69%, draw 16%, FA Siauliai II 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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