Neptüna Klaipeda 3-2 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.8pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.90/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.06
+8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
423 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Ekranas
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Ekranas Ekranas 2-4 HT 2-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
23.09.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 3-1 HT 2-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
29.04.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 0-1 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
01.10.2022 Ekranas Ekranas 1-2 HT 1-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
28.05.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 4-3 HT 1-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda nicked a narrow win over Ekranas 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 1.40 for Ekranas.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Ekranas?

Neptüna Klaipeda 3-2 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 52%, draw 24%, Ekranas 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
26 Jul 2024
18:00 Tauras Taurage vs Minija Analysis →
18:00 Nevezis vs BFA Analysis →
18:00 Babrungas vs Garliava Analysis →
18:00 Be1 NFA vs FA Siauliai II Analysis →