Hradec Kralove 1-2 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 22%
+19% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.44/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.85
+4% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.0 Crosses 14.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Karvina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.35 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
297 Passes 303
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Karvina Karvina 0-4 HT 0-3 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
03.05.2025 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
09.03.2025 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-1 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
05.10.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
31.03.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-1 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
21.10.2023 Karvina Karvina 1-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
1-2
AWAY Karvina
1.17 xG 2.64
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 27
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
222 Passes 333
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 36
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina edged past Hradec Kralove 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hradec Kralove at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 44% of the ball to Karvina's 56%, shots finished 9-27, expected goals 1.17 to 2.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Karvina's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hradec Kralove had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hradec Kralove and 0.50 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs Karvina?

Hradec Kralove 1-2 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hradec Kralove win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 50%, draw 26%, Karvina 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hradec Kralove) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hradec Kralove) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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