Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-13.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.66/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.38
+7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
23.0 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Jablonec
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.77 xG 1.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
313 Passes 248
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.05.2025 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 4-1 HT 3-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
01.12.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-2 HT 0-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
03.08.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 0-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
02.04.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 0-3 HT 0-2 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEKK
17.03.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
08.10.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-2 HT 2-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
1-1
AWAY Jablonec
1.09 xG 1.69
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
265 Passes 358
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen and Jablonec shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Plzen at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 44% of the ball to Jablonec's 56%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.09 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 1.00 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Jablonec?

Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 50%, draw 23%, Jablonec 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viktoria Plzen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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