FC Dallas vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Dallas v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
FC Dallas vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
FC Dallas
ABD
0-1
HT 0-1
New York City FC
ABD
3-3
HT 1-1
FC Dallas
ABD
1-1
HT 0-1
New York City FC
ABD
3-1
HT 2-1
FC Dallas
ABD
1-1
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
FC Dallas 3-4 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC nicked a narrow win over FC Dallas 4-3 away from home. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; New York City FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, FC Dallas had 41% of the ball to New York City FC's 59%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.65 to 1.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Dallas and 2.00 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of FC Dallas vs New York City FC?
FC Dallas 3-4 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 33%, draw 28%, New York City FC 39%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.