Los Angeles FC 0-1 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -3%
2.02/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.63
+7% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.6 Crosses 13.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Portland Timbers
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.69 xG 1.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
417 Passes 301
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-3 HT 2-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
28.04.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-2 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
13.04.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-2 HT 2-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
10.09.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-0 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
05.03.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-2 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
02.10.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-2 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
0-1
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.10 xG 0.51
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
578 Passes 446
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers edged past Los Angeles FC 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Los Angeles FC carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 55% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 45%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.10 to 0.51 — on chances, Los Angeles FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Los Angeles FC and 2.00 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?

Los Angeles FC 0-1 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 55%, draw 23%, Portland Timbers 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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