Portland Timbers 3-3 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒05:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.54
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.15
X/1
15%
5.86
X/2
11%
6.28
X/X
10%
4.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
26.0
2/2
18%
3.95
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 6% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.55/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.55
+23% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
17.8 Crosses 14.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.34 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
296 Passes 390
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-2 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
13.04.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-2 HT 2-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
10.09.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-0 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
05.03.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-2 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
02.10.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-2 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
11.05.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
3-3
AWAY Los Angeles FC
2.25 xG 2.70
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
299 Passes 513
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers and Los Angeles FC couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 39% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 61%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 2.25 to 2.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Portland Timbers and 2.00 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC?

Portland Timbers 3-3 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 40%, draw 25%, Los Angeles FC 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portland Timbers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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