San Diego 1-0 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.34
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
8%
5.6
X/2
15%
6.33
X/X
15%
5.3
2/1
6%
24.65
2/2
16%
4.03
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Diego EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +19%
1.68/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.08
+5% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 82%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.5 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Diego
1-0
AWAY Nashville SC
1.47 xG 0.45
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
548 Passes 353
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Diego vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego edged past Nashville SC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; San Diego found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, San Diego had 59% of the ball to Nashville SC's 41%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.47 to 0.45.

What was the final score of San Diego vs Nashville SC?

San Diego 1-0 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Diego vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Diego 36%, draw 27%, Nashville SC 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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