Columbus Crew 1-3 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒03:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.75/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.37
-3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.3 Crosses 15.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Orlando City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.80 xG 1.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
479 Passes 348
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-3 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
26.05.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
26.11.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 0-2 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
17.09.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 4-3 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
14.05.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-2 HT 2-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
09.10.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 2-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
1-3
AWAY Orlando City
2.22 xG 2.36
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 1
497 Passes 251
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
41 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City beat Columbus Crew 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Columbus Crew at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 65% of the ball to Orlando City's 35%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.22 to 2.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.83 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Orlando City?

Columbus Crew 1-3 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 44%, draw 26%, Orlando City 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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