Everton vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Everton v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Everton vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Everton 0-3 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Bournemouth cruised past Everton 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Bournemouth made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Everton had 40% of the ball to Bournemouth's 60%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.08 to 1.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Everton and 1.33 for Bournemouth.
What was the final score of Everton vs Bournemouth?
Everton 0-3 Bournemouth in the HAZPL on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Everton vs Bournemouth?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Everton 33%, draw 31%, Bournemouth 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.