Sturm Graz II 2-5 Wolfsberger AC II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
32%
Over Pick
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.5pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.3pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsberger AC II The Market 21%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
446 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Wolfsberger AC II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2022 Wolfsberger AC II Wolfsberger AC II 1-4 HT 0-3 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AVUBÖL
20.08.2021 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-2 HT 1-2 Wolfsberger AC II Wolfsberger AC II AVUBÖL
30.10.2020 Wolfsberger AC II Wolfsberger AC II 1-2 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AVUBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz II
2-5
AWAY Wolfsberger AC II
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs Wolfsberger AC II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC II ran out comfortable winners over Sturm Graz II 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Sturm Graz II carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sturm Graz II had 55% of the ball to Wolfsberger AC II's 45%, shots finished 17-21.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sturm Graz II and 1.33 for Wolfsberger AC II.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs Wolfsberger AC II?

Sturm Graz II 2-5 Wolfsberger AC II in the Friendlies on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs Wolfsberger AC II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz II win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 59%, draw 19%, Wolfsberger AC II 22%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturm Graz II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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