Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sandefjord v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals
Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-1
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
6-1
HT 3-1
Sandefjord
NOR
Sandefjord 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics
Sandefjord squeezed past Sarpsborg 08 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sandefjord found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sandefjord had 56% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 44%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 1.74 to 3.09 — on chances, Sarpsborg 08 could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sandefjord and 2.50 for Sarpsborg 08.
What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08?
Sandefjord 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 40%, draw 26%, Sarpsborg 08 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandefjord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.