Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Indy Eleven v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Indy Eleven 0-1 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics
Loudoun United came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Indy Eleven 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Indy Eleven at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 50% of the ball to Loudoun United's 50%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.41 to 1.17 — the balance of chances actually favoured Indy Eleven.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.17 for Loudoun United.
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United Result & Final Score
Indy Eleven 0 - 1 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 26/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 60%, draw 22%, Loudoun United 18%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.