Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterey Bay v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monterey Bay 1-2 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Orange County SC came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Monterey Bay 2-1 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
We leaned Monterey Bay at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.
By the numbers, possession split 59% to 41% in Monterey Bay's favour, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.62 to 1.70.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Monterey Bay against 1.17 for Orange County SC.
Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC Result & Final Score
Monterey Bay 1 - 2 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 26/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 43%, draw 27%, Orange County SC 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterey Bay), Under 2.5 went the other way.