Etoile Carouge 1-1 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 26 Aug 2025

📅26/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
6.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
+0.1pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.27/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.89
-37% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
14.4 Crosses 13.7
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.28
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
416 Passes 296
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2025 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-1 HT 2-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
07.03.2025 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-3 HT 0-3 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
04.10.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-1 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
20.09.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-4 HT 1-2 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
05.11.2022 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
13.05.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
1-1
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
0.40 xG 1.41
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
408 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge and Stade Nyonnais shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Etoile Carouge carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 60% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 40%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.40 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Etoile Carouge and 1.00 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?

Etoile Carouge 1-1 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 59%, draw 19%, Stade Nyonnais 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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