Etoile Carouge 2-1 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 26%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.60/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.40
-10% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
12.9 Crosses 14.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
415 Passes 258
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-3 HT 0-3 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
04.10.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-1 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
20.09.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-4 HT 1-2 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
05.11.2022 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
13.05.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV1Y
26.02.2022 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 3-2 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
2-1
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.22 xG 1.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
421 Passes 408
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge nicked a narrow win over Stade Nyonnais 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Etoile Carouge as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 49% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 51%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.22 to 1.90 — the balance of chances actually favoured Stade Nyonnais.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Etoile Carouge and 1.17 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?

Etoile Carouge 2-1 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 52%, draw 26%, Stade Nyonnais 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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