Stade Ouchy 3-0 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 30% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.85/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.79
+55% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
10.5 Crosses 16.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Thun
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 0.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 Passes 264
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
13.12.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSV2
02.08.2024 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
22.04.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
17.02.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
14.10.2022 Thun Thun 0-2 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
3-0
AWAY Thun
2.12 xG 0.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
259 Passes 155
71% Pass Accuracy 59%
22 Box Touches 10
10 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy cruised past Thun 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Stade Ouchy found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 58% of the ball to Thun's 42%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 2.12 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stade Ouchy and 1.17 for Thun.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Thun?

Stade Ouchy 3-0 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 36%, draw 26%, Thun 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Thun), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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