Bellinzona vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bellinzona v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Bellinzona vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Bellinzona
İSV2
Bellinzona 1-1 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Bellinzona and Aarau couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
On the day, Bellinzona had 48% of the ball to Aarau's 52%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.82 to 1.15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bellinzona had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bellinzona and 1.67 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Aarau?
Bellinzona 1-1 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 37%, draw 23%, Aarau 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5 went the other way.