Manchester City (K) 3-0 Paris (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.28
Draw
27%
5.15
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.51
Over
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
45%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Manchester City (K) win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
74%
-16.6pp
27%
Draw
16%
+10.5pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
2.65/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.39
+2% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +122% / +45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
390 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
26.0 Crosses 13.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Paris (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
72% Ball Possession 28%
14 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
18.09.2024 Paris (K) Paris (K) 0-5 HT 0-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City (K)
3-0
AWAY Paris (K)
71% Ball Possession 29%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester City (K) vs Paris (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) ran out comfortable winners over Paris (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Manchester City (K) had 71% of the ball to Paris (K)'s 29%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Paris (K)?

Manchester City (K) 3-0 Paris (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Paris (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 57%, draw 27%, Paris (K) 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ BTTS No
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