Athlone Town 1-2 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
2.88
6+ Goals
8%
8.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 55%
+13% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.60/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.29
+30% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Wexford Youths
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.07.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-0 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
18.04.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
07.03.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.10.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-0 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
24.10.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
30.08.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-1 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths squeezed past Athlone Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wexford Youths as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Athlone Town and 0.50 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths?

Athlone Town 1-2 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 28%, draw 21%, Wexford Youths 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wexford Youths), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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