Dundalk vs Univ College Dublin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundalk v Univ College Dublin — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Univ College Dublin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 1-1
Dundalk
İRL
0-2
HT 0-1
Dundalk
İRL
1-1
HT 1-0
Univ College Dublin
İRL
Dundalk 3-2 Univ College Dublin — Actual Match Statistics
Dundalk nicked a narrow win over Univ College Dublin 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Dundalk had 43% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 57%, shots finished 19-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dundalk and 0.50 for Univ College Dublin.
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Univ College Dublin?
Dundalk 3-2 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Univ College Dublin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 52%, draw 28%, Univ College Dublin 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.