Athlone Town 1-1 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.34/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.47
-7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wexford Youths
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.10.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-0 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
24.10.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
30.08.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-1 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
12.08.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-3 HT 2-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
03.05.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-2 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town and Wexford Youths couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Athlone Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Athlone Town and 1.17 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths?

Athlone Town 1-1 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 41%, draw 25%, Wexford Youths 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athlone Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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