Buchbach 2-4 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Sep 2025

Buchbach
2-4 HT 1-1
Aubstadt
📅26/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Buchbach vs Aubstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.46
No
53%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.4pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
64%
-17.7pp
53%
BTTS No
36%
+17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Buchbach v Aubstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.63/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.54
-5% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 23.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Buchbach vs Aubstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aubstadt
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2024 Buchbach Buchbach 3-2 HT 2-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 3-1 HT 2-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
25.03.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-2 HT 0-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
02.09.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 2-4 HT 2-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
16.04.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 4-1 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
07.08.2021 Buchbach Buchbach 1-1 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubstadt got the better of Buchbach 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Buchbach at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aubstadt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Buchbach and 2.33 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Aubstadt?

Buchbach 2-4 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buchbach win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 49%, draw 20%, Aubstadt 31%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Buchbach), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buchbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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