Memmingen 1-1 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Memmingen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.08/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.06
-26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Memmingen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
26.04.2024 Memmingen Memmingen 1-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
08.10.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-2 HT 0-0 Memmingen Memmingen ALMBÖL
23.04.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-1 HT 0-0 Memmingen Memmingen ALMBÖL
24.09.2021 Memmingen Memmingen 3-3 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
24.10.2020 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-1 HT 0-0 Memmingen Memmingen ALMBÖL
12.09.2014 Memmingen Memmingen 1-6 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Memmingen vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Memmingen and Greuther Fürth II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Greuther Fürth II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Memmingen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Memmingen and 1.83 for Greuther Fürth II.

What was the final score of Memmingen vs Greuther Fürth II?

Memmingen 1-1 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Memmingen vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Memmingen 35%, draw 23%, Greuther Fürth II 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Greuther Fürth II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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