Schott Mainz 1-2 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
57%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
25%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
57%
Away Win
53%
+4.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.2pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schott Mainz EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.37/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.17
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schott Mainz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 1-2 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
23.09.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-0 HT 1-0 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
23.04.2022 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 0-0 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
30.10.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-0 HT 1-0 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
04.04.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-1 HT 1-0 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
17.10.2020 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 3-0 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schott Mainz vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II edged past Schott Mainz 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mainz 05 II as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Schott Mainz and 1.50 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of Schott Mainz vs Mainz 05 II?

Schott Mainz 1-2 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schott Mainz vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Schott Mainz 19%, draw 24%, Mainz 05 II 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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