Lehnerz 1-1 Steinbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
47%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
47%
Away Win
38%
+8.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Steinbach EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.10/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.01
-25% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lehnerz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Steinbach
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.02.2025 Steinbach Steinbach 3-3 HT 1-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
24.08.2024 Lehnerz Lehnerz 0-1 HT 0-1 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
28.03.2024 Lehnerz Lehnerz 2-3 HT 2-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 Steinbach Steinbach 1-3 HT 1-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Steinbach Steinbach 1-1 HT 1-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
06.08.2022 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-0 HT 1-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lehnerz vs Steinbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lehnerz and Steinbach couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Steinbach at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lehnerz and 1.50 for Steinbach.

What was the final score of Lehnerz vs Steinbach?

Lehnerz 1-1 Steinbach in the Germany - Regional League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lehnerz vs Steinbach?

Before kick-off our model rated an Steinbach win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lehnerz 29%, draw 24%, Steinbach 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Steinbach) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Steinbach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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