RKC Waalwijk 1-3 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 26 Sep 2025

RKC Waalwijk
1-3 HT 1-1
ADO Den Haag
📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

RKC Waalwijk vs ADO Den Haag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.04
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
60%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.16
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
19.5
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
7%
9.98
X/2
20%
4.37
X/X
5%
6.38
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.05
2/X
9%
14.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.5 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
-0.1pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.0pp
60%
Away Win
57%
+3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v ADO Den Haag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 61%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.25/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.07
+30% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
17.2 Crosses 22.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

RKC Waalwijk vs ADO Den Haag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 0.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
427 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.01.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 4-2 HT 1-2 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOK
27.02.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
09.01.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
19.01.2020 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
25.08.2019 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-3 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
09.03.2014 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL

RKC Waalwijk 1-3 ADO Den Haag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1-3
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.56 xG 1.37
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
227 Passes 402
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag saw off RKC Waalwijk 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 38% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 62%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.56 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.50 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs ADO Den Haag?

RKC Waalwijk 1-3 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 21%, draw 19%, ADO Den Haag 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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