Ajax II vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax II v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals
Ajax II vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Ajax II
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-1
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
Ajax II 2-4 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics
VVV-Venlo got the better of Ajax II 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Ajax II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ajax II had 59% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 41%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.83 to 1.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ajax II and 0.83 for VVV-Venlo.
What was the final score of Ajax II vs VVV-Venlo?
Ajax II 2-4 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax II vs VVV-Venlo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 46%, draw 21%, VVV-Venlo 33%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajax II) went the other way.