Kauno Zalgiris II 2-3 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
6.35
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
72%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
13%
-0.6pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.3pp
72%
Away Win
70%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 75%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +3%
1.77/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.79/1.00
+110% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -11%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
290 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2023 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 3-0 HT 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
25.03.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 HT 1-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius squeezed past Kauno Zalgiris II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had TransINVEST Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, TransINVEST Vilnius led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 2.50 for TransINVEST Vilnius.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Kauno Zalgiris II 2-3 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 12%, draw 16%, TransINVEST Vilnius 72%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
26 Sep 2025
00:00 Panevezys II vs Minija Analysis →
18:00 Ekranas vs Babrungas Analysis →
18:00 Nevezis vs Tauras Taurage Analysis →
18:00 Be1 NFA vs BFA Analysis →
19:00 Hegelmann II vs Zalgiris II Analysis →
19:00 FA Siauliai II vs Lietava Jonava Analysis →