FA Siauliai II 0-3 Lietava Jonava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
46%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-8.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.93/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+63% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
217 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lietava Jonava
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.05.2025 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 3-1 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
26.08.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-2 HT 1-1 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
07.04.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 0-2 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai II
0-3
AWAY Lietava Jonava
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai II vs Lietava Jonava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava swept aside FA Siauliai II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lietava Jonava as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, FA Siauliai II had 61% of the ball to Lietava Jonava's 39%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FA Siauliai II and 1.67 for Lietava Jonava.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai II vs Lietava Jonava?

FA Siauliai II 0-3 Lietava Jonava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai II vs Lietava Jonava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lietava Jonava win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai II 30%, draw 24%, Lietava Jonava 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lietava Jonava), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lietava Jonava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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