Panevezys II 1-4 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
53%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
35%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
53%
Away Win
51%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 56%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.96/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.75
-21% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -45%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panevezys II
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Minija
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Minija Minija 2-0 HT 0-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
08.11.2024 Minija Minija 1-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
21.06.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-3 HT 0-2 Minija Minija LIT1
07.10.2023 Minija Minija 4-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
22.05.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-2 HT 1-2 Minija Minija LIT1
09.07.2022 Minija Minija 2-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija ran out comfortable winners over Panevezys II 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minija led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Panevezys II and 2.33 for Minija.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs Minija?

Panevezys II 1-4 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 24%, draw 23%, Minija 53%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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