Hegelmann II 1-1 Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
31%
-8.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.00/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/1.25
-25% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zalgiris II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2025 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 4-3 HT 3-1 Hegelmann II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann II
1-1
AWAY Zalgiris II
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II and Zalgiris II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Hegelmann II had 37% of the ball to Zalgiris II's 63%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Zalgiris II?

Hegelmann II 1-1 Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 23%, draw 30%, Zalgiris II 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalgiris II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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