Nevezis 0-5 Tauras Taurage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+4.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
57%
Away Win
61%
-4.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 66%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.12/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.87
+17% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Tauras Taurage
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 17
6 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 2-1 HT 1-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
19.10.2024 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 2-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
01.06.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Tauras Taurage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tauras Taurage cruised past Nevezis 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tauras Taurage as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tauras Taurage led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nevezis and 1.33 for Tauras Taurage.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Tauras Taurage?

Nevezis 0-5 Tauras Taurage in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Tauras Taurage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 21%, draw 22%, Tauras Taurage 57%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tauras Taurage), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tauras Taurage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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