Southend United 2-0 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.34
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 26% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.91
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.9
X/1
18%
3.63
X/2
9%
12.0
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
7%
9.9
2/X
6%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 19%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -26%
1.68/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.02
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
2-0
AWAY Tamworth
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
2 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United saw off Tamworth 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Southend United had 58% of the ball to Tamworth's 42%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Tamworth?

Southend United 2-0 Tamworth in the England - National League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Southend United 51%, draw 25%, Tamworth 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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