Hartlepool United 2-0 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Oct 2024

Hartlepool United
2-0 HT 1-0
Aldershot Town
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Hartlepool United vs Aldershot Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.97
Over 2.5
38%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 33% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.79
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.66
X/2
12%
7.05
X/X
11%
4.88
2/1
5%
24.45
2/2
11%
5.0
2/X
10%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
47%
+15.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
53%
-15.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.8pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartlepool United v Aldershot Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.29/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.64
-16% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Hartlepool United vs Aldershot Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Aldershot Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
21.10.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
15.05.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-3 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
03.10.2020 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
08.02.2020 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-0 HT 2-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
12.10.2019 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL

Hartlepool United 2-0 Aldershot Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
2-0
AWAY Aldershot Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United got the better of Aldershot Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hartlepool United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 49% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 51%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hartlepool United and 0.67 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Aldershot Town?

Hartlepool United 2-0 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 42%, draw 27%, Aldershot Town 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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